Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4831 380 0
FY ice 141 16845 470
MY ice 0 4360 11218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3871 596 0
FY ice 97 17122 636
MY ice 0 4213 11542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3609 442 0
FY ice 43 17247 742
MY ice 0 4211 11716
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2476 840 0
FY ice 43 17377 802
MY ice 0 4403 11760
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2477 828 0
FY ice 42 17244 808
MY ice 0 4548 11754

Date: 2020-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1859 720 0
FY ice 170 17494 669
MY ice 0 4619 11728
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1879 670 0
FY ice 150 17406 688
MY ice 0 4757 11709

Date: 2020-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1335 256 0
FY ice 322 17336 646
MY ice 0 4770 11594
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1147 301 0
FY ice 510 17120 666
MY ice 0 4941 11574

Date: 2020-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 566 217 0
FY ice 472 17653 727
MY ice 0 4814 11727
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 493 300 0
FY ice 545 17367 800
MY ice 0 5017 11654

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 284 11 0
FY ice 210 18194 874
MY ice 1 4739 12026
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 304 0 0
FY ice 191 18044 953
MY ice 0 4900 11947


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