Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12679 393 0
FY ice 172 13541 1262
MY ice 0 2861 12332
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11564 438 0
FY ice 321 13955 1104
MY ice 0 2886 12619
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11333 290 0
FY ice 187 14289 1085
MY ice 0 3020 12540
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10752 290 0
FY ice 197 14674 1086
MY ice 0 3155 12292
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10696 213 0
FY ice 253 14553 1056
MY ice 0 3353 12322

Date: 2020-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9730 302 0
FY ice 267 15102 1059
MY ice 0 3322 12086
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9679 226 0
FY ice 318 14943 1030
MY ice 0 3557 12115

Date: 2020-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8198 339 0
FY ice 73 15536 1042
MY ice 0 3400 11951
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8002 387 0
FY ice 269 15227 1033
MY ice 0 3661 11960

Date: 2020-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7473 68 0
FY ice 253 15026 1033
MY ice 0 3527 12077
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7329 167 0
FY ice 397 14672 1043
MY ice 0 3782 12067

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7205 126 0
FY ice 333 14971 1013
MY ice 0 3765 12022
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6946 220 0
FY ice 591 14747 1077
MY ice 1 3895 11958


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