Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-10-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 148358 1766 166
FY ice 74 1492 8365
MY ice 0 205 21592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146426 2070 585
FY ice 51 944 11027
MY ice 0 201 21455
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 145032 1666 269
FY ice 34 674 12903
MY ice 0 139 21998
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144437 1875 385
FY ice 109 1084 12828
MY ice 0 201 21846
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144411 1905 399
FY ice 135 1044 12727
MY ice 0 211 21933

Date: 2020-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144322 2292 27
FY ice 139 3460 7504
MY ice 0 977 20283
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144291 2472 30
FY ice 170 3298 7433
MY ice 0 959 20351

Date: 2020-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143032 2102 13
FY ice 41 8692 3519
MY ice 0 1365 17131
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142957 3498 77
FY ice 116 7339 3497
MY ice 0 1322 17089

Date: 2020-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142498 2003 145
FY ice 85 10893 3734
MY ice 0 1718 16964
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142413 2994 481
FY ice 170 9926 3422
MY ice 0 1694 16940

Date: 2020-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141723 2187 63
FY ice 59 11544 3723
MY ice 0 1776 17778
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141669 3136 160
FY ice 113 10647 3548
MY ice 0 1724 17856


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