Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 486 155 1
FY ice 231 17698 114
MY ice 30 7390 5221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 580 0 0
FY ice 314 0 0
MY ice 41 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 977 0 0
FY ice 177 0 0
MY ice 34 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1313 0 0
FY ice 316 0 0
MY ice 27 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1359 0 0
FY ice 269 0 0
MY ice 28 0 0

Date: 2020-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1603 0 0
FY ice 329 0 0
MY ice 31 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1641 0 0
FY ice 290 0 0
MY ice 32 0 0

Date: 2020-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1782 0 0
FY ice 303 0 0
MY ice 57 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1691 0 0
FY ice 382 0 0
MY ice 69 0 0

Date: 2020-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2072 0 0
FY ice 259 0 0
MY ice 44 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1926 0 0
FY ice 382 0 0
MY ice 67 0 0

Date: 2020-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2408 0 0
FY ice 231 0 0
MY ice 27 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2317 0 0
FY ice 300 0 0
MY ice 49 0 0


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