Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 316 20 0
FY ice 49 20017 13
MY ice 0 6443 7147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 436 92 0
FY ice 279 19995 43
MY ice 48 6253 7156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 481 91 0
FY ice 151 18878 42
MY ice 34 6433 6543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 459 126 0
FY ice 232 17577 44
MY ice 31 7049 5424
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 468 167 2
FY ice 224 17530 28
MY ice 30 7055 5438

Date: 2020-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 507 0 0
FY ice 280 0 0
MY ice 33 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 513 0 0
FY ice 280 0 0
MY ice 27 0 0

Date: 2020-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 892 0 0
FY ice 180 0 0
MY ice 35 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 675 0 0
FY ice 384 0 0
MY ice 48 0 0

Date: 2020-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1040 0 0
FY ice 222 0 0
MY ice 36 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 833 0 0
FY ice 418 0 0
MY ice 47 0 0

Date: 2020-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1543 0 0
FY ice 298 0 0
MY ice 29 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1277 0 0
FY ice 559 0 0
MY ice 34 0 0


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