Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 52 0 0
FY ice 107 18876 572
MY ice 14 5302 10584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 27 8 0
FY ice 60 19126 378
MY ice 1 5430 10379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 32 19422 402
MY ice 0 5324 10220
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 2 1
FY ice 85 19188 497
MY ice 2 5325 10188
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 2 1
FY ice 83 19261 527
MY ice 3 5252 10158

Date: 2020-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 8 7
FY ice 26 18999 466
MY ice 0 5451 9959
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 22
FY ice 26 19097 460
MY ice 0 5352 9950

Date: 2020-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 5
FY ice 0 19075 395
MY ice 0 5913 9128
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 8
FY ice 0 19107 410
MY ice 0 5881 9110

Date: 2020-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 19123 244
MY ice 0 5687 9340
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 19058 274
MY ice 0 5752 9310

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10 0 0
FY ice 52 19259 265
MY ice 0 5603 9370
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 62 19126 301
MY ice 0 5736 9334


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