Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 41 0
FY ice 41 18505 363
MY ice 9 5788 10485
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15 15 0
FY ice 24 18840 424
MY ice 15 5737 10235
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 17 18887 420
MY ice 0 5639 10295
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26 0 0
FY ice 50 18879 571
MY ice 6 5363 10537
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26 0 0
FY ice 50 18950 583
MY ice 6 5292 10525

Date: 2020-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 36 0 0
FY ice 70 18930 488
MY ice 3 5367 10505
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 40 0 0
FY ice 66 19000 507
MY ice 3 5297 10486

Date: 2020-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21 3 0
FY ice 57 19227 354
MY ice 0 5527 10175
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 10 0
FY ice 71 19304 363
MY ice 0 5443 10166

Date: 2020-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 74 19390 515
MY ice 0 5106 10578
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 73 19403 546
MY ice 1 5087 10547

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 11 0
FY ice 58 19185 266
MY ice 0 5435 9468
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 15 0
FY ice 52 19309 279
MY ice 0 5307 9455


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