Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 140 0
FY ice 16 18638 239
MY ice 0 5465 10713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 44 0
FY ice 11 18514 365
MY ice 0 5065 11469
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 35 9 0
FY ice 12 18221 453
MY ice 0 4809 11833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 0 17955 655
MY ice 0 4913 11787
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 0 18076 699
MY ice 0 4795 11743

Date: 2020-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17991 493
MY ice 0 5232 11498
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18100 495
MY ice 0 5123 11496

Date: 2020-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18248 405
MY ice 0 5697 10712
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18273 405
MY ice 0 5672 10712

Date: 2020-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 14 0
FY ice 0 18289 325
MY ice 0 5945 10384
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 0 18335 322
MY ice 0 5909 10387

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 41 0
FY ice 41 18505 363
MY ice 9 5788 10485
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 5 0
FY ice 33 18524 350
MY ice 13 5805 10498


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