Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 16 0
FY ice 6 17986 456
MY ice 0 4793 12430
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 30 0
FY ice 0 18113 386
MY ice 0 5005 12037
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 11 0
FY ice 27 18164 427
MY ice 0 4924 12008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 33 68 0
FY ice 29 18691 239
MY ice 0 5468 10633
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21 68 0
FY ice 41 18869 255
MY ice 0 5290 10617

Date: 2020-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 121 0
FY ice 0 18661 237
MY ice 0 5061 11084
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 97 0
FY ice 0 18807 259
MY ice 0 4939 11062

Date: 2020-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 18499 439
MY ice 0 4881 11655
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 41 0
FY ice 2 18634 456
MY ice 0 4705 11638

Date: 2020-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8 18 0
FY ice 3 18074 639
MY ice 0 4797 11993
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 34 0
FY ice 11 18179 661
MY ice 0 4676 11971

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18095 550
MY ice 0 5317 11300
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18160 544
MY ice 0 5252 11306


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