Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-03-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17336 971
MY ice 0 4140 13448
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17253 788
MY ice 0 4235 13154
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17365 819
MY ice 0 4456 12969
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17662 827
MY ice 0 4629 12697
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17800 859
MY ice 0 4491 12665

Date: 2020-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 41 0
FY ice 4 18228 290
MY ice 3 5161 11555
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 39 0
FY ice 5 18349 304
MY ice 2 5042 11541

Date: 2020-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 1 18090 444
MY ice 0 4871 12192
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 25 0
FY ice 1 18145 451
MY ice 0 4800 12185

Date: 2020-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21 30 0
FY ice 32 18338 352
MY ice 0 5313 11341
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 44 0
FY ice 53 18416 344
MY ice 0 5221 11349

Date: 2020-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 140 0
FY ice 16 18638 239
MY ice 0 5465 10713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 120 0
FY ice 19 18656 213
MY ice 0 5467 10739


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