Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15185 2571 1
FY ice 215 11386 1203
MY ice 0 1186 12132
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13988 2483 39
FY ice 184 12335 1091
MY ice 0 1344 12070
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12911 2806 31
FY ice 36 13166 1168
MY ice 0 1246 12176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12522 2180 8
FY ice 117 14255 1285
MY ice 0 1162 12258
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12511 2231 8
FY ice 128 14221 1270
MY ice 0 1145 12273

Date: 2019-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12001 1765 13
FY ice 137 14789 1245
MY ice 0 1104 12251
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11983 1841 14
FY ice 155 14750 1221
MY ice 0 1067 12274

Date: 2019-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11371 1711 0
FY ice 21 15494 1348
MY ice 0 961 12346
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11282 1487 0
FY ice 110 15785 1391
MY ice 0 894 12303

Date: 2019-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11794 602 0
FY ice 112 15807 1498
MY ice 0 995 12117
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11595 548 0
FY ice 311 15879 1497
MY ice 0 977 12118

Date: 2019-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10920 421 0
FY ice 226 16621 1239
MY ice 0 1182 11565
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10425 584 0
FY ice 721 16498 1093
MY ice 0 1142 11711


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