Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18974 1946 0
FY ice 42 9351 1162
MY ice 0 1514 11316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18516 1861 0
FY ice 78 9684 1197
MY ice 0 871 12105
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16964 2484 0
FY ice 55 10198 1414
MY ice 0 743 12338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15898 2752 0
FY ice 133 11155 1057
MY ice 0 1205 11982
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15890 2826 0
FY ice 141 11140 1057
MY ice 0 1146 11982

Date: 2019-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14395 2689 1
FY ice 196 11996 1016
MY ice 0 1406 11932
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14431 2856 1
FY ice 160 11894 1019
MY ice 0 1341 11929

Date: 2019-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13461 2517 26
FY ice 30 12722 1210
MY ice 0 1203 12275
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13292 2777 25
FY ice 199 12525 1224
MY ice 0 1140 12262

Date: 2019-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12681 2536 23
FY ice 75 13796 1190
MY ice 0 1180 12265
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12494 2839 19
FY ice 262 13562 1234
MY ice 0 1111 12225

Date: 2019-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12183 1999 10
FY ice 141 14435 1277
MY ice 0 1071 12340
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11998 2413 11
FY ice 326 14079 1328
MY ice 0 1013 12288


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