Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-10-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 145680 1897 4
FY ice 68 7768 1111
MY ice 0 2115 21838
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144873 1978 57
FY ice 139 7311 1421
MY ice 0 1898 21931
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143718 2139 52
FY ice 66 9250 1461
MY ice 0 2122 22019
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142469 2516 33
FY ice 90 10130 1410
MY ice 0 2200 20974
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142467 2534 35
FY ice 92 10183 1251
MY ice 0 2129 21131

Date: 2019-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140840 2724 60
FY ice 200 9640 2647
MY ice 0 1957 22472
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140838 2839 59
FY ice 202 9613 2435
MY ice 0 1869 22685

Date: 2019-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139185 1594 54
FY ice 97 8700 5085
MY ice 0 737 24601
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139014 2680 93
FY ice 268 7643 4874
MY ice 0 708 24773

Date: 2019-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137427 3128 12
FY ice 158 11047 4078
MY ice 0 1073 23899
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137238 3965 12
FY ice 347 10250 3858
MY ice 0 1033 24119

Date: 2019-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134149 4160 0
FY ice 130 13199 4150
MY ice 0 1303 23846
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134083 4739 0
FY ice 196 12725 3936
MY ice 0 1198 24060


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