Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 0 0
FY ice 19 20660 867
MY ice 0 4271 8093
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 17 20688 745
MY ice 0 4436 8094
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 63 20567 814
MY ice 7 4499 7839
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 12 0
FY ice 30 20984 722
MY ice 0 4774 7319
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 6 0
FY ice 31 20871 732
MY ice 0 4893 7309

Date: 2019-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 50 0
FY ice 27 21176 593
MY ice 0 4759 7658
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 53 0
FY ice 30 21068 601
MY ice 0 4864 7650

Date: 2019-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111 178 0
FY ice 16 21322 574
MY ice 8 5392 7196
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 143 0
FY ice 108 21221 584
MY ice 7 5528 7186

Date: 2019-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 220 379 0
FY ice 57 20963 529
MY ice 4 5131 7062
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 153 233 0
FY ice 127 20985 530
MY ice 1 5255 7061

Date: 2019-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 335 374 0
FY ice 122 18558 1436
MY ice 11 4212 7539
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 278 298 0
FY ice 183 18613 1341
MY ice 7 4233 7634


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