Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21547 669
MY ice 0 5338 8014
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 21809 571
MY ice 0 5551 7752
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 51 0
FY ice 2 21768 549
MY ice 0 5566 7772
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 137 0
FY ice 2 21654 503
MY ice 0 5981 7575
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 135 0
FY ice 3 21558 584
MY ice 0 6079 7494

Date: 2019-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 167 0
FY ice 5 21593 476
MY ice 5 5979 7416
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 156 0
FY ice 4 21464 552
MY ice 6 6119 7340

Date: 2019-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 81 10
FY ice 13 21665 482
MY ice 9 5627 7624
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 77 19
FY ice 10 21445 551
MY ice 15 5851 7546

Date: 2019-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 78 18
FY ice 3 21580 518
MY ice 6 5299 7486
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 91 37
FY ice 5 21103 529
MY ice 1 5763 7456

Date: 2019-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 70 4
FY ice 0 21487 609
MY ice 1 5153 7738
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 123 23
FY ice 1 20897 616
MY ice 0 5690 7712


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