Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 20999 1231
MY ice 0 4019 9278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 48 0
FY ice 0 21229 1164
MY ice 0 4580 8943
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21235 1099
MY ice 0 4835 8211
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 21311 1000
MY ice 0 4523 8755
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 21257 1116
MY ice 0 4577 8639

Date: 2019-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 55 0
FY ice 4 21548 1003
MY ice 0 4532 8756
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 75 0
FY ice 4 21458 1065
MY ice 0 4602 8694

Date: 2019-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 15 0
FY ice 0 21338 845
MY ice 0 5142 8171
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 166 0
FY ice 0 21101 873
MY ice 0 5228 8143

Date: 2019-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9 119 0
FY ice 6 21247 908
MY ice 0 5067 8508
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 231 0
FY ice 7 21151 957
MY ice 3 5051 8459

Date: 2019-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 56 190 0
FY ice 21 21194 762
MY ice 0 5545 7450
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 52 283 0
FY ice 25 20953 783
MY ice 0 5693 7429


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