Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94 0 0
FY ice 111 20130 2285
MY ice 0 1652 11611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 14 20082 2501
MY ice 0 1724 11663
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 50 20199 2211
MY ice 0 2016 11330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 20457 1988
MY ice 0 1889 11210
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 20381 2039
MY ice 0 1965 11159

Date: 2018-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 20684 1956
MY ice 0 2241 10842
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 20654 1986
MY ice 0 2271 10812

Date: 2018-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 20943 1834
MY ice 0 2308 10710
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 20911 1879
MY ice 0 2340 10665

Date: 2019-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21134 1680
MY ice 0 2264 10585
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21146 1731
MY ice 0 2252 10534

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21023 1853
MY ice 0 2616 10422
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21065 1884
MY ice 0 2574 10391


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