Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93955 613 136
FY ice 599 50991 4608
MY ice 0 2227 17163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93822 662 138
FY ice 793 50247 5681
MY ice 0 2330 17277
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94361 682 128
FY ice 297 51553 5160
MY ice 0 2691 16759
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94533 481 87
FY ice 615 51906 5143
MY ice 0 2476 16435
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94555 478 85
FY ice 593 51676 5061
MY ice 0 2709 16519

Date: 2018-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93182 628 84
FY ice 360 52799 4439
MY ice 0 2988 15818
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93201 654 84
FY ice 341 52559 4390
MY ice 0 3202 15867

Date: 2018-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92527 891 54
FY ice 192 53369 4414
MY ice 0 3133 15803
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92113 935 55
FY ice 606 53094 4343
MY ice 0 3364 15873

Date: 2019-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90842 1219 71
FY ice 91 54107 4165
MY ice 0 3188 15657
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90677 1234 75
FY ice 256 53924 4035
MY ice 0 3356 15783

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90178 1528 0
FY ice 65 54837 3881
MY ice 0 3749 15280
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89947 1250 0
FY ice 296 54997 3755
MY ice 0 3867 15406


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