Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1524 49 0
FY ice 126 25121 744
MY ice 0 531 1079
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1564 34 0
FY ice 182 25259 721
MY ice 0 511 997
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1550 31 0
FY ice 53 25422 756
MY ice 0 423 1048
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1343 34 0
FY ice 186 25286 662
MY ice 0 539 1075
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1370 35 0
FY ice 159 25184 601
MY ice 0 640 1136

Date: 2018-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1351 15 0
FY ice 375 24985 685
MY ice 0 528 1095
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1373 15 0
FY ice 353 24825 635
MY ice 0 688 1145

Date: 2018-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1999 32 0
FY ice 116 25183 565
MY ice 0 605 892
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1669 18 0
FY ice 446 25073 509
MY ice 0 729 948

Date: 2018-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2026 18 0
FY ice 155 25453 668
MY ice 0 516 885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1616 6 0
FY ice 565 25304 607
MY ice 0 677 946

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2067 2 0
FY ice 313 25571 383
MY ice 0 656 515
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1515 2 0
FY ice 865 25325 383
MY ice 0 902 515


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