Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94585 1063 3
FY ice 399 50363 5095
MY ice 0 1851 17133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94842 479 112
FY ice 405 50551 5476
MY ice 0 1873 17403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94870 616 76
FY ice 146 51329 4781
MY ice 0 2097 16970
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94318 590 99
FY ice 404 51495 4604
MY ice 0 2283 17078
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94349 582 98
FY ice 373 51289 4575
MY ice 0 2497 17108

Date: 2018-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93860 663 101
FY ice 640 50288 5242
MY ice 0 2212 17288
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93917 661 97
FY ice 583 50004 5274
MY ice 0 2498 17260

Date: 2018-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94538 599 73
FY ice 270 50750 5309
MY ice 0 2516 17026
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94062 674 89
FY ice 746 50481 5285
MY ice 0 2710 17034

Date: 2018-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94546 509 147
FY ice 449 51410 5366
MY ice 0 2454 16710
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94090 509 155
FY ice 905 51159 5391
MY ice 0 2705 16677

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93950 509 128
FY ice 567 52113 4893
MY ice 0 2734 16044
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93270 575 131
FY ice 1247 51552 4820
MY ice 0 3229 16114


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