Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93730 772 1
FY ice 383 4397 1982
MY ice 0 39 5020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93094 853 0
FY ice 411 4836 1680
MY ice 1 43 4693
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92897 726 92
FY ice 219 5065 2092
MY ice 0 35 4730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92699 763 14
FY ice 117 5774 1732
MY ice 0 36 4400
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92697 782 14
FY ice 119 5754 1664
MY ice 0 37 4468

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92842 509 83
FY ice 97 5687 1713
MY ice 0 25 4348
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92834 513 82
FY ice 105 5684 1684
MY ice 0 24 4378

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92871 422 109
FY ice 88 5369 2203
MY ice 0 27 4594
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92738 437 120
FY ice 221 5364 2154
MY ice 0 17 4632

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92953 504 32
FY ice 79 5797 1751
MY ice 0 30 4392
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92804 528 31
FY ice 228 5775 1654
MY ice 0 28 4490

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92559 587 136
FY ice 176 5744 1703
MY ice 0 61 4423
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92473 770 137
FY ice 262 5584 1533
MY ice 0 38 4592


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