Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2204 103 1
FY ice 68 18418 2423
MY ice 0 1096 11819
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1385 194 2
FY ice 3 18485 2559
MY ice 0 1218 11863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 723 348 7
FY ice 12 18734 2520
MY ice 0 1262 11893
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 369 265 6
FY ice 112 19365 2581
MY ice 0 1255 11828
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 302 283 7
FY ice 179 19179 2604
MY ice 0 1423 11804

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 214 143 0
FY ice 107 19922 2442
MY ice 0 1243 11812
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 194 158 0
FY ice 127 19795 2477
MY ice 0 1355 11777

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 375 13 0
FY ice 43 20092 2305
MY ice 0 1423 11722
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 178 31 0
FY ice 240 19969 2381
MY ice 0 1528 11646

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 261 0 0
FY ice 71 20103 2105
MY ice 0 1774 11445
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 55 0 0
FY ice 277 20002 2113
MY ice 0 1875 11437

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94 0 0
FY ice 111 20130 2285
MY ice 0 1652 11611
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18 0 0
FY ice 187 19930 2301
MY ice 0 1852 11595


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