Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97515 875 2
FY ice 1197 46999 5147
MY ice 0 1766 17990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96230 1051 2
FY ice 1247 47661 4771
MY ice 1 2078 17308
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95440 1151 100
FY ice 482 48245 5206
MY ice 0 2007 17532
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94640 1084 20
FY ice 390 50146 5004
MY ice 0 1890 17305
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94559 1112 21
FY ice 471 49822 4914
MY ice 0 2186 17394

Date: 2018-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94525 704 83
FY ice 333 50778 4916
MY ice 0 1778 17206
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94469 712 82
FY ice 389 50519 4904
MY ice 0 2029 17219

Date: 2018-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95037 482 111
FY ice 170 50814 5227
MY ice 0 1900 17330
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94511 482 122
FY ice 696 50540 5208
MY ice 0 2174 17338

Date: 2018-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94479 560 32
FY ice 226 51412 4579
MY ice 0 2279 16885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94005 554 31
FY ice 700 51163 4424
MY ice 0 2534 17041

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93955 613 136
FY ice 599 50991 4608
MY ice 0 2227 17163
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93711 805 137
FY ice 843 50409 4431
MY ice 0 2617 17339


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