Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4779 297 0
FY ice 381 17339 3022
MY ice 0 821 11824
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4386 179 0
FY ice 403 17276 2925
MY ice 0 790 11879
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4167 274 0
FY ice 57 17719 2510
MY ice 0 929 11691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2785 180 0
FY ice 43 17996 2543
MY ice 0 1087 11570
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2776 192 0
FY ice 52 17843 2501
MY ice 0 1228 11612

Date: 2018-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1736 113 0
FY ice 44 18319 2580
MY ice 0 1104 12030
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1734 123 0
FY ice 46 18162 2515
MY ice 0 1251 12095

Date: 2018-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1027 210 4
FY ice 7 18434 2524
MY ice 0 1478 11759
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1025 173 3
FY ice 9 18495 2512
MY ice 0 1454 11772

Date: 2018-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 535 364 12
FY ice 83 18726 2590
MY ice 0 1457 11799
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 508 289 11
FY ice 110 18775 2571
MY ice 0 1483 11819

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0


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