Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99864 1001 8
FY ice 754 46356 5315
MY ice 0 1286 19024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99346 932 1
FY ice 1146 45974 5334
MY ice 0 1299 18809
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99673 1051 0
FY ice 790 46297 4932
MY ice 0 1528 18322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98238 952 5
FY ice 1023 46897 4579
MY ice 0 1956 17376
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98273 926 5
FY ice 987 46653 4736
MY ice 1 2226 17219

Date: 2018-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96748 953 8
FY ice 1320 47101 5261
MY ice 0 1820 17860
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96768 948 8
FY ice 1294 46795 5282
MY ice 6 2131 17839

Date: 2018-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95609 1001 32
FY ice 1033 47573 5005
MY ice 2 2507 17236
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95602 978 31
FY ice 1039 47611 5072
MY ice 3 2492 17170

Date: 2018-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94748 995 19
FY ice 749 48606 5143
MY ice 0 2359 17533
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94719 933 18
FY ice 778 48518 5274
MY ice 0 2509 17403

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0


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