Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95776 408 0
FY ice 149 3116 1371
MY ice 0 19 6442
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95471 481 0
FY ice 115 3857 475
MY ice 0 31 5890
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95048 672 10
FY ice 88 3468 1234
MY ice 0 13 6208
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94333 779 21
FY ice 101 3869 1227
MY ice 0 25 6018
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94332 757 21
FY ice 102 3891 1438
MY ice 0 25 5807

Date: 2018-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94058 1054 0
FY ice 213 4092 1414
MY ice 0 10 6091
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94029 1005 0
FY ice 242 4141 1652
MY ice 0 10 5853

Date: 2018-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93806 1356 0
FY ice 86 4162 1289
MY ice 0 8 6014
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93537 1207 0
FY ice 355 4311 1535
MY ice 0 8 5768

Date: 2018-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94097 821 0
FY ice 125 4364 1105
MY ice 0 6 5964
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93829 716 0
FY ice 393 4469 1410
MY ice 0 6 5659

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94070 701 8
FY ice 235 4568 1131
MY ice 0 8 5764
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93759 670 8
FY ice 546 4591 1446
MY ice 0 16 5449


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