Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108512 1648 1
FY ice 332 42092 6242
MY ice 0 805 20613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106438 1334 2
FY ice 207 43706 5117
MY ice 0 896 19763
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104498 1232 10
FY ice 147 43871 5663
MY ice 0 843 19846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101933 1236 21
FY ice 361 44660 5621
MY ice 0 935 19406
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101997 1225 21
FY ice 297 44382 5605
MY ice 0 1224 19422

Date: 2018-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101453 1522 0
FY ice 428 45286 5719
MY ice 0 1027 19525
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101396 1500 0
FY ice 485 45008 5739
MY ice 0 1327 19505

Date: 2018-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101288 1961 0
FY ice 317 45869 5295
MY ice 0 1120 19448
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100842 1695 0
FY ice 763 45829 5356
MY ice 0 1426 19387

Date: 2018-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100963 1253 0
FY ice 461 46244 5135
MY ice 0 1128 19215
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100488 1156 0
FY ice 936 45957 5259
MY ice 0 1512 19091

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99864 1001 8
FY ice 754 46356 5315
MY ice 0 1286 19024
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99382 1102 8
FY ice 1236 45947 5377
MY ice 0 1594 18962


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