Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12822 831 0
FY ice 97 15285 2854
MY ice 0 443 11739
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11901 1008 0
FY ice 166 15738 2927
MY ice 0 442 11860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11566 986 0
FY ice 174 16187 3082
MY ice 0 454 11939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10706 926 0
FY ice 157 16426 2935
MY ice 0 571 11922
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10699 962 0
FY ice 164 16188 2736
MY ice 0 773 12121

Date: 2018-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9586 724 0
FY ice 108 16717 3095
MY ice 0 583 11895
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9582 740 0
FY ice 112 16512 2849
MY ice 0 772 12141

Date: 2018-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8261 483 0
FY ice 23 16974 3122
MY ice 0 612 11805
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8245 474 0
FY ice 39 16795 2804
MY ice 0 800 12123

Date: 2018-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6655 438 0
FY ice 129 16935 3082
MY ice 0 594 11792
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6667 454 0
FY ice 117 16718 2741
MY ice 0 795 12133

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6260 383 0
FY ice 186 16938 3164
MY ice 0 616 11858
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6241 366 0
FY ice 205 16811 2806
MY ice 0 760 12216


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