Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113660 2116 0
FY ice 241 39013 4900
MY ice 3 674 20522
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112071 2166 0
FY ice 369 39690 5737
MY ice 6 767 20487
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111194 1960 0
FY ice 339 40644 6219
MY ice 0 738 20598
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109448 1671 1
FY ice 377 41594 6122
MY ice 0 817 20576
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109449 1675 1
FY ice 375 41327 5970
MY ice 1 1080 20728

Date: 2018-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107240 1455 1
FY ice 311 42873 6004
MY ice 0 864 20355
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107242 1464 1
FY ice 309 42625 5907
MY ice 0 1103 20452

Date: 2018-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105999 1290 45
FY ice 69 43347 6042
MY ice 0 910 19855
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105774 1047 43
FY ice 294 43327 5818
MY ice 0 1173 20081

Date: 2018-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103037 1315 2
FY ice 381 44177 5456
MY ice 0 908 19592
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102759 1314 3
FY ice 659 43864 5425
MY ice 0 1222 19622

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102080 1347 2
FY ice 486 45011 5536
MY ice 0 969 19459
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101735 1321 2
FY ice 831 44678 5531
MY ice 0 1328 19464


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