Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14071 1759 0
FY ice 74 12117 3257
MY ice 0 558 12349
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13406 1536 0
FY ice 66 13088 3457
MY ice 0 514 12241
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13799 499 0
FY ice 123 13721 3611
MY ice 0 513 12107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13381 641 0
FY ice 83 14741 3037
MY ice 0 441 11842
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13362 590 0
FY ice 102 14683 2850
MY ice 0 550 12029

Date: 2018-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12353 997 0
FY ice 118 15647 2802
MY ice 0 454 11770
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12310 941 0
FY ice 161 15540 2629
MY ice 0 617 11943

Date: 2018-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11658 1063 0
FY ice 97 15999 3035
MY ice 0 438 11927
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11522 1034 0
FY ice 233 15860 2865
MY ice 0 606 12097

Date: 2018-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11297 882 0
FY ice 167 16306 3051
MY ice 0 493 11924
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11248 970 0
FY ice 216 16090 2914
MY ice 0 621 12061

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10125 952 0
FY ice 143 16562 3104
MY ice 0 555 11963
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10116 1257 0
FY ice 152 16169 3053
MY ice 0 643 12014


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