Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-11-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15805 2634 0
FY ice 274 8754 3202
MY ice 0 356 12907
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14705 2741 0
FY ice 265 9969 3357
MY ice 0 339 12904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14360 2461 0
FY ice 41 10929 3202
MY ice 0 636 12691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14371 1819 0
FY ice 69 11615 3340
MY ice 0 573 12504
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14368 1774 0
FY ice 72 11625 3154
MY ice 0 608 12690

Date: 2018-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13471 1899 0
FY ice 59 12671 3282
MY ice 0 533 12300
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13468 1887 0
FY ice 62 12652 3059
MY ice 0 564 12523

Date: 2018-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13618 708 0
FY ice 71 13703 3564
MY ice 0 560 12208
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13583 1092 0
FY ice 106 13372 3299
MY ice 0 507 12473

Date: 2018-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13819 467 0
FY ice 134 14101 3364
MY ice 0 437 11973
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13767 746 0
FY ice 186 13834 3088
MY ice 0 425 12249

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12822 831 0
FY ice 97 15285 2854
MY ice 0 443 11739
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12815 1387 0
FY ice 104 14676 2820
MY ice 0 496 11773


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