Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127125 6430 0
FY ice 344 18750 6039
MY ice 0 421 22158
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125375 5720 0
FY ice 351 21751 6052
MY ice 0 426 22107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123256 5917 0
FY ice 83 24367 5602
MY ice 0 833 21712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120750 5177 0
FY ice 162 27386 5939
MY ice 2 751 21647
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120720 5360 0
FY ice 194 27138 5710
MY ice 0 816 21876

Date: 2018-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117429 5216 0
FY ice 179 30759 5785
MY ice 1 661 21641
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117407 5417 0
FY ice 201 30493 5515
MY ice 1 726 21911

Date: 2018-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116145 3824 0
FY ice 131 33831 6186
MY ice 5 730 21352
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115919 4664 0
FY ice 358 33013 5855
MY ice 4 708 21683

Date: 2018-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115393 2493 0
FY ice 237 36216 5694
MY ice 17 653 20887
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115111 3618 0
FY ice 510 35062 5319
MY ice 26 682 21262

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113660 2116 0
FY ice 241 39013 4900
MY ice 3 674 20522
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113342 3730 0
FY ice 558 37277 4882
MY ice 4 796 20540


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