Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99540 412 28
FY ice 40 616 1141
MY ice 0 37 6637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99603 315 60
FY ice 87 614 931
MY ice 1 127 6278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99767 534 15
FY ice 55 530 1091
MY ice 7 19 6320
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99497 571 0
FY ice 64 718 1027
MY ice 4 15 6417
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99506 604 0
FY ice 57 683 970
MY ice 2 17 6474

Date: 2018-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99158 503 0
FY ice 25 1004 1160
MY ice 0 24 6496
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99157 603 0
FY ice 26 911 1101
MY ice 0 17 6555

Date: 2018-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98976 527 0
FY ice 27 1119 1084
MY ice 0 36 6403
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98908 575 0
FY ice 95 1054 1043
MY ice 0 53 6444

Date: 2018-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98870 481 0
FY ice 56 1293 1065
MY ice 0 25 6455
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98788 539 0
FY ice 138 1193 1033
MY ice 0 67 6487

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98506 518 0
FY ice 48 1404 1097
MY ice 0 20 6495
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98445 654 0
FY ice 109 1238 1043
MY ice 0 50 6549


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