Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99187 408 10
FY ice 6 885 738
MY ice 0 18 7010
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99640 274 17
FY ice 40 920 648
MY ice 2 38 6866
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99872 338 14
FY ice 28 533 982
MY ice 3 91 6653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99711 384 27
FY ice 65 497 1128
MY ice 7 38 6660
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99716 368 26
FY ice 67 518 1139
MY ice 0 33 6650

Date: 2018-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99428 181 72
FY ice 13 348 1316
MY ice 0 7 6603
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99425 178 69
FY ice 16 356 1293
MY ice 0 2 6629

Date: 2018-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99798 312 105
FY ice 31 420 1260
MY ice 3 14 6388
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99680 232 83
FY ice 137 497 1187
MY ice 15 17 6483

Date: 2018-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99709 560 0
FY ice 60 667 942
MY ice 11 21 6381
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99522 518 0
FY ice 197 701 868
MY ice 61 29 6455

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99344 513 0
FY ice 61 872 1073
MY ice 0 23 6454
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99208 707 0
FY ice 149 654 1068
MY ice 48 47 6459


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