Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-10-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142630 4091 134
FY ice 43 6192 5705
MY ice 0 81 24019
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140366 5634 62
FY ice 77 6869 5864
MY ice 2 93 23796
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138650 3873 34
FY ice 188 8603 6714
MY ice 3 475 23509
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137561 4335 83
FY ice 249 9134 7449
MY ice 7 242 23200
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137411 4196 65
FY ice 406 9247 7466
MY ice 0 268 23201

Date: 2018-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135674 3994 205
FY ice 93 6959 9515
MY ice 0 83 23287
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135560 3889 195
FY ice 207 7006 9489
MY ice 0 141 23323

Date: 2018-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133605 4893 164
FY ice 138 11261 8329
MY ice 3 134 22900
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133344 5405 210
FY ice 387 10700 8315
MY ice 15 183 22868

Date: 2018-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130799 5808 0
FY ice 308 15721 6179
MY ice 11 249 22394
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130384 6686 0
FY ice 673 14762 6196
MY ice 61 330 22377

Date: 2018-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127125 6430 0
FY ice 344 18750 6039
MY ice 0 421 22158
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126773 7393 0
FY ice 648 17711 5958
MY ice 48 497 22239


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