Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24467 1147 17
FY ice 54 1771 2533
MY ice 0 106 14120
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24288 1172 19
FY ice 177 1786 2748
MY ice 0 85 13871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24103 822 25
FY ice 51 2693 2713
MY ice 1 90 13751
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23000 1451 1
FY ice 23 3024 2975
MY ice 0 68 13713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22998 1303 2
FY ice 25 3189 3085
MY ice 0 51 13602

Date: 2018-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22420 1638 3
FY ice 29 3130 3338
MY ice 0 46 13689
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22421 1511 4
FY ice 28 3267 3404
MY ice 0 36 13622

Date: 2018-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19669 2570 3
FY ice 17 4082 3314
MY ice 0 264 13872
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19660 3448 6
FY ice 26 3442 3527
MY ice 0 26 13656

Date: 2018-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19339 2369 33
FY ice 160 4171 3760
MY ice 0 189 13668
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19360 3169 80
FY ice 139 3505 3802
MY ice 0 55 13579

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18294 3347 34
FY ice 69 4580 3878
MY ice 0 151 13459
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18287 4146 67
FY ice 76 3876 3802
MY ice 0 56 13502


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