Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-09-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 148686 0 0
FY ice 215 0 0
MY ice 54 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 147919 0 0
FY ice 283 0 0
MY ice 35 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146769 0 0
FY ice 107 0 0
MY ice 29 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146886 0 0
FY ice 267 0 0
MY ice 26 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146864 0 0
FY ice 278 0 0
MY ice 37 0 0

Date: 2018-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146654 0 0
FY ice 326 0 0
MY ice 8 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146626 0 0
FY ice 343 0 0
MY ice 19 0 0

Date: 2018-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 147202 1835 20
FY ice 115 4208 4021
MY ice 8 404 25184
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146862 2477 39
FY ice 422 3718 4241
MY ice 41 252 24945

Date: 2018-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146745 2608 30
FY ice 82 3940 4351
MY ice 0 329 25233
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146635 2588 37
FY ice 191 4066 4491
MY ice 1 223 25086

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146046 3015 82
FY ice 98 4111 4768
MY ice 1 232 25128
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 145899 2871 110
FY ice 246 4290 4927
MY ice 0 197 24941


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