Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-05-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 262 87 0
FY ice 147 13718 305
MY ice 14 8637 9568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 270 111 0
FY ice 73 13289 332
MY ice 2 9774 8146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 262 217 0
FY ice 75 13038 314
MY ice 0 10298 6483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 456 93 0
FY ice 175 12436 310
MY ice 0 9520 7844
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 446 95 0
FY ice 185 12481 300
MY ice 0 9473 7854

Date: 2018-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 513 57 0
FY ice 358 12246 341
MY ice 28 8577 8386
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 516 57 0
FY ice 355 12089 337
MY ice 28 8734 8390

Date: 2018-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 773 67 0
FY ice 243 12245 416
MY ice 48 8644 8345
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 561 47 0
FY ice 439 12127 421
MY ice 64 8782 8340

Date: 2018-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 773 0 0
FY ice 332 0 0
MY ice 51 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 639 0 0
FY ice 465 0 0
MY ice 52 0 0

Date: 2018-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 899 0 0
FY ice 598 0 0
MY ice 18 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 781 0 0
FY ice 721 0 0
MY ice 13 0 0


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