Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 56 120 0
FY ice 80 14485 431
MY ice 0 7880 9885
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 42 121 0
FY ice 45 14600 369
MY ice 3 8572 9035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 35 37 0
FY ice 40 14336 311
MY ice 0 8386 9347
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87 70 0
FY ice 45 14125 328
MY ice 0 8091 9851
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 67 73 0
FY ice 65 14147 347
MY ice 0 8066 9832

Date: 2018-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107 135 0
FY ice 158 13928 334
MY ice 0 8302 9781
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82 123 0
FY ice 183 13988 344
MY ice 0 8254 9771

Date: 2018-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 270 73 0
FY ice 209 13484 353
MY ice 0 8514 9427
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 152 62 0
FY ice 327 13706 383
MY ice 0 8303 9397

Date: 2018-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 211 180 0
FY ice 148 13737 337
MY ice 0 8927 8727
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 131 131 0
FY ice 228 14067 363
MY ice 0 8646 8701

Date: 2018-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 262 87 0
FY ice 147 13718 305
MY ice 14 8637 9568
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 152 78 0
FY ice 263 14102 385
MY ice 8 8262 9488


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