Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-03-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 50 0
FY ice 3 13854 624
MY ice 0 5906 12535
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 73 0
FY ice 1 14128 603
MY ice 0 6665 11447
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14377 534
MY ice 0 6789 11149
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 14618 421
MY ice 0 6594 11177
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 14627 462
MY ice 0 6585 11136

Date: 2018-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 54 0
FY ice 5 14853 350
MY ice 0 6943 10447
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 54 0
FY ice 5 14869 386
MY ice 0 6927 10411

Date: 2018-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 13 0
FY ice 7 15253 307
MY ice 0 6799 10992
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 67 0
FY ice 7 15116 340
MY ice 1 6882 10959

Date: 2018-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 15312 284
MY ice 0 7555 10186
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 15100 330
MY ice 0 7767 10140

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 15245 348
MY ice 0 7048 10555
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 14884 421
MY ice 0 7409 10482


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