Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-03-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14008 647
MY ice 0 5370 13152
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 15 14051 599
MY ice 4 5273 13346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 4 14045 615
MY ice 0 5378 13238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 13827 620
MY ice 0 5615 12757
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 13764 661
MY ice 0 5678 12716

Date: 2018-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 73 0
FY ice 0 14068 629
MY ice 0 6502 11718
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 68 0
FY ice 0 14036 681
MY ice 0 6539 11666

Date: 2018-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 14391 587
MY ice 0 6991 11033
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 58 0
FY ice 1 14358 621
MY ice 0 6966 10999

Date: 2018-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 0 14566 476
MY ice 0 6621 11049
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 13 0
FY ice 0 14691 521
MY ice 0 6484 11004

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 14812 378
MY ice 0 6743 11193
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14930 510
MY ice 0 6627 11061


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