Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 57 0
FY ice 5 15966 411
MY ice 0 5574 11692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13 119 0
FY ice 70 15713 411
MY ice 0 5607 11441
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141 115 0
FY ice 80 15494 397
MY ice 0 5846 11024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122 124 0
FY ice 13 15312 352
MY ice 0 5930 10691
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130 151 0
FY ice 5 15357 360
MY ice 0 5858 10683

Date: 2018-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 44 14858 489
MY ice 0 6185 10387
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17 62 0
FY ice 27 14824 507
MY ice 0 6157 10369

Date: 2018-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14569 433
MY ice 0 5469 13030
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14560 465
MY ice 0 5478 12998

Date: 2018-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14814 290
MY ice 0 5154 13502
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14810 301
MY ice 0 5158 13491

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 23 0
FY ice 0 15016 363
MY ice 0 5383 13123
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 7 0
FY ice 0 14978 375
MY ice 0 5437 13111


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