Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 12 0
FY ice 0 16591 438
MY ice 0 5642 11218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 40 0
FY ice 0 16541 370
MY ice 0 6193 10075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 3 16292 385
MY ice 0 5829 11150
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 50 0
FY ice 0 16083 405
MY ice 0 5625 11585
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 48 0
FY ice 0 16122 409
MY ice 0 5588 11581

Date: 2018-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 85 0
FY ice 38 15929 429
MY ice 0 5593 11600
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 91 0
FY ice 38 15942 441
MY ice 0 5574 11588

Date: 2018-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88 40 0
FY ice 61 15622 438
MY ice 0 5682 11295
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24 157 0
FY ice 125 15550 449
MY ice 0 5637 11284

Date: 2018-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130 153 0
FY ice 13 15566 288
MY ice 0 5883 10958
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87 180 0
FY ice 56 15540 296
MY ice 0 5882 10950

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 47 36 0
FY ice 44 15209 393
MY ice 0 6100 9245
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9 11 0
FY ice 82 15154 449
MY ice 0 6180 9189


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