Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 0 0
FY ice 23 18398 270
MY ice 0 4767 11015
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 20 18327 272
MY ice 0 4419 11750
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 26 0
FY ice 8 18313 264
MY ice 0 4403 11792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 18210 305
MY ice 0 4333 12060
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 18154 292
MY ice 0 4389 12073

Date: 2018-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 17918 416
MY ice 0 4583 11628
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 17850 394
MY ice 0 4651 11650

Date: 2018-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 5 17795 465
MY ice 0 4672 11574
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 5 17690 440
MY ice 0 4777 11599

Date: 2018-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17671 425
MY ice 0 4711 11596
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17527 395
MY ice 0 4855 11626

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 17531 491
MY ice 0 4743 11895
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 17381 450
MY ice 0 4893 11936


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