Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90783 1066 0
FY ice 243 48077 2867
MY ice 0 8576 14585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90712 880 0
FY ice 400 47365 3082
MY ice 0 7969 15350
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90650 898 0
FY ice 366 47228 3044
MY ice 0 8127 15550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90506 693 0
FY ice 611 46942 3107
MY ice 0 8209 15557
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90491 694 0
FY ice 626 46951 3149
MY ice 0 8199 15515

Date: 2018-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90981 529 0
FY ice 800 46807 2489
MY ice 0 8654 14585
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90939 521 0
FY ice 842 46771 2483
MY ice 0 8698 14591

Date: 2018-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91403 535 1
FY ice 418 46796 2237
MY ice 0 9154 14166
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90938 543 0
FY ice 883 46807 2279
MY ice 0 9135 14125

Date: 2018-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90524 738 0
FY ice 210 46843 2015
MY ice 0 9172 14002
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90170 598 0
FY ice 564 46953 2053
MY ice 0 9202 13964

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90156 853 0
FY ice 384 46593 2781
MY ice 0 9151 14678
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89878 811 0
FY ice 662 46515 2850
MY ice 0 9271 14609


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