Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 340 234 0
FY ice 2 17854 329
MY ice 0 4061 12072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 157 221 0
FY ice 33 17781 392
MY ice 0 4156 12058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 36 254 0
FY ice 4 17740 496
MY ice 0 4082 12212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 153 0
FY ice 0 18018 447
MY ice 0 4124 12086
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 225 0
FY ice 0 17937 431
MY ice 0 4133 12102

Date: 2018-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 50 0
FY ice 0 18343 286
MY ice 0 4212 12070
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 116 0
FY ice 0 18258 277
MY ice 0 4231 12079

Date: 2018-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13 9 0
FY ice 21 18060 346
MY ice 0 4295 12080
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 55 0
FY ice 31 17976 333
MY ice 0 4333 12093

Date: 2018-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 52 18045 390
MY ice 0 4727 11083
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 52 18000 367
MY ice 0 4772 11106

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 0 0
FY ice 23 18398 270
MY ice 0 4767 11015
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 28 18346 252
MY ice 0 4819 11033


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