Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-12-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 551 143 0
FY ice 198 16837 551
MY ice 0 3974 12342
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 660 118 0
FY ice 106 17153 428
MY ice 0 4490 11045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 546 331 0
FY ice 13 17421 496
MY ice 0 4308 11556
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 423 211 0
FY ice 5 17746 374
MY ice 0 4138 11843
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 423 221 0
FY ice 5 17710 352
MY ice 0 4164 11865

Date: 2017-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 194 281 0
FY ice 11 17832 358
MY ice 0 4143 11998
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 200 308 0
FY ice 5 17802 325
MY ice 0 4146 12031

Date: 2018-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128 160 0
FY ice 0 17720 473
MY ice 0 4110 12126
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110 215 0
FY ice 18 17645 443
MY ice 0 4130 12156

Date: 2018-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8 216 0
FY ice 3 17832 454
MY ice 0 4082 12139
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 288 0
FY ice 11 17757 432
MY ice 0 4085 12161

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 97 0
FY ice 0 18199 350
MY ice 0 4217 12008
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 226 0
FY ice 0 18090 328
MY ice 0 4197 12030


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