Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95815 2125 0
FY ice 547 42595 4514
MY ice 0 5999 16779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95144 1963 0
FY ice 299 43085 5051
MY ice 0 6020 16962
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94347 1448 0
FY ice 265 43514 4612
MY ice 0 6059 16774
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94514 1407 0
FY ice 662 42960 4900
MY ice 0 6408 16264
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94497 1412 0
FY ice 679 42928 4960
MY ice 0 6435 16204

Date: 2017-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94577 1018 0
FY ice 970 42736 4698
MY ice 0 7332 15273
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94545 1007 0
FY ice 1002 42745 4741
MY ice 0 7334 15230

Date: 2017-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94513 1335 0
FY ice 290 43381 3732
MY ice 0 7705 14416
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93986 1144 0
FY ice 817 43589 3743
MY ice 0 7688 14405

Date: 2017-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93692 1488 0
FY ice 331 44358 3896
MY ice 0 7450 15625
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93315 1290 0
FY ice 708 44497 3961
MY ice 0 7509 15560

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92788 1463 0
FY ice 331 45178 3895
MY ice 0 7295 16076
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92374 1561 0
FY ice 745 45059 3866
MY ice 0 7316 16105


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