Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-12-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93747 1538 0
FY ice 229 6133 1103
MY ice 0 0 2684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93168 1731 0
FY ice 165 6760 878
MY ice 0 2 2313
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93281 1486 0
FY ice 15 7229 893
MY ice 0 34 2103
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93027 1275 0
FY ice 62 7553 936
MY ice 0 31 1956
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93007 1292 0
FY ice 82 7538 939
MY ice 0 29 1953

Date: 2017-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93211 1254 0
FY ice 65 7378 1956
MY ice 0 16 1932
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93186 1223 0
FY ice 90 7418 1932
MY ice 0 7 1956

Date: 2017-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92907 1464 0
FY ice 7 7981 1232
MY ice 0 30 1821
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92845 1280 0
FY ice 69 8189 1229
MY ice 0 6 1824

Date: 2017-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93039 1067 0
FY ice 75 8027 786
MY ice 0 59 1585
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92796 1070 0
FY ice 318 8069 784
MY ice 0 14 1587

Date: 2017-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93141 977 0
FY ice 361 7582 1478
MY ice 0 42 1779
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92667 1045 0
FY ice 835 7539 1436
MY ice 0 17 1821


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