Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-12-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4791 445 0
FY ice 80 16830 374
MY ice 0 3710 10836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2943 717 0
FY ice 31 17324 269
MY ice 0 3741 11065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1841 636 0
FY ice 57 17324 254
MY ice 0 3725 11583
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1483 761 0
FY ice 169 17019 288
MY ice 0 3705 11873
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1477 748 0
FY ice 175 17024 328
MY ice 0 3713 11833

Date: 2017-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1490 807 0
FY ice 95 16990 370
MY ice 0 3626 12461
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1485 861 0
FY ice 100 16926 396
MY ice 0 3636 12435

Date: 2017-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 773 395 0
FY ice 80 17158 535
MY ice 0 3574 12678
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 748 606 0
FY ice 105 16944 482
MY ice 0 3577 12731

Date: 2017-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 706 200 0
FY ice 193 16801 571
MY ice 0 3676 12523
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 687 244 0
FY ice 212 16782 490
MY ice 0 3651 12604

Date: 2017-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 551 143 0
FY ice 198 16837 551
MY ice 0 3974 12342
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 486 147 0
FY ice 263 16860 460
MY ice 0 3947 12433


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